Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.323284 4.342990e-01 0.563319 0.721976 0.909455 1.121669 1.377725
2025-11-16 0.185088 3.182822e-01 0.497921 0.746784 1.071590 1.470667 1.987273
2025-11-23 0.099078 2.269501e-01 0.429200 0.743159 1.190057 1.776954 2.578755
2025-11-30 0.060110 1.837400e-01 0.410179 0.796394 1.383911 2.193557 3.341725
2025-12-07 0.034018 1.454929e-01 0.383892 0.828827 1.547184 2.578803 4.087644
2025-12-14 0.017137 1.113926e-01 0.350673 0.839369 1.673817 2.917596 4.786706
2025-12-21 0.006931 8.053534e-02 0.309415 0.823872 1.752875 3.188050 5.400218
2025-12-28 0.002714 6.237485e-02 0.287663 0.837691 1.877282 3.529199 6.125667
2026-01-04 0.000726 4.665988e-02 0.263125 0.838853 1.976930 3.834618 6.808362
2026-01-11 0.000052 3.152790e-02 0.229195 0.810505 2.018298 4.047681 7.359565
2026-01-18 NaN 2.115576e-02 0.202056 0.789525 2.068123 4.273417 7.934501
2026-01-25 NaN 1.521770e-02 0.186936 0.793430 2.163715 4.576132 8.634310
2026-02-01 NaN 8.949308e-03 0.160933 0.762960 2.190714 4.770272 9.181447
2026-02-08 NaN 7.071486e-03 0.159282 0.800327 2.358794 5.211236 10.128761
2026-02-15 NaN 4.536517e-03 0.146855 0.802449 2.453037 5.528816 10.890646
2026-02-22 NaN 3.984741e-03 0.152309 0.861759 2.673587 6.074260 12.028764
2026-03-01 NaN 3.023291e-03 0.150696 0.897683 2.845435 6.539454 13.048804
2026-03-08 NaN 1.921885e-03 0.142590 0.909684 2.964908 6.915332 13.933230
2026-03-15 NaN 9.134914e-04 0.127842 0.893719 3.019406 7.175777 14.635700
2026-03-22 NaN 5.067108e-04 0.121924 0.908566 3.145003 7.568308 15.561554
2026-03-29 NaN 2.124891e-04 0.113267 0.909908 3.238258 7.903537 16.398835
2026-04-05 NaN 3.439736e-05 0.098407 0.879952 3.253337 8.093570 16.998779
2026-04-12 NaN 9.021723e-07 0.086558 0.857755 3.284326 8.313033 17.651105